SPECIAL REPORT: INDIAN EARTHQUAKE CAUSED BY A COVERT NUCLEAR TEST?

January 27, 2001

Gujarath killer earthquake caused by Nuclear Test?

Reports by  KM correspondent

New Delhi: The devastating earthquake that is causing severe damage to valuable human life and property in Gujarath and other parts of India may be caused by a covert nuclear explosion by India on the eve of the 51st  Republic Day celebrations

 

Vajpayee" Did Buddha Smile Again on January 26?

According to leading international scientists, earthquakes and nuclear tests are  two sides of the same coin and a covert nuclear explosion could trigger a powerful  earthquake like the one which happened in Gujarath.

Bhuj earthquake was equal to a five mega tonne hydrogen bomb

The Bhuj earthquake unleashed energy equivalent to a 5.3 mega tonne Hydrogen bomb and the aftershocks of this violent force will last for months, director of the National Geophysical Research Institute (NGRI), Hydrabad was quoted by the Press Trust of India on January 28, 2001. Several eyewitnesses from Gujarath to Karachi and victims said that they thought it was a bomb explosion.more

According to scientific sources  there are strong reasons to suspect  that the earthquake is a contribution of an underground nuclear test  by  the BJP government in the dessert regions of Gujarath .  Hardly ten days before the earthquake  the Indian government announced the successful test firing of nuclear missile Agni II reportedly from a launch station in Orissa. 

There are several instances of clandestine nuclear tests causing devastating earthquakes. In some cases, small nuclear tests are camaflouged as natural earthquakes. While the US and other international monitoring stations reported that the magnitude of the test was above 7 point, the Indian government  has been trying to prove that the earthquake magnitude was above 6 points. What is the government trying to achieve by showing a small figure on the Richter scale? Apparently the government is to be trying to hide something from the people and show a brave face to the world! 

 

Indian Defence Minister:  Pokhran, Agni II..What else??

The mere fact that the quake hit the Kutch desert area, a clandestine playground for Indian nuclear establishment add further credence to the argument that a nuclear test caused the quake. Another reason for investigating  the nuclear angle is that the earthquake occurred near  the powerful nuclear power plant --Kakrapar. The strategically important dessert areas of Rann of Kutch covering the states of Gujarath and Rajasthan  has  important nuclear installations like the Plasma Research Institute, Ahmedabad (again in the quake affected area) and a heavvy water production plant in Baroda. Kept away from the public for "national security reasons," outside world know little about the activities going on in these nuclear establishments. 

According to one report the Pokhran nuclear tests measured 4.7 points on the Richter scale -the equivalent of a light earthquake

Scientists point out that a number of nuclear installations in the world have been facing major and minor earthquakes. According to latest report from Russia, even the Chernobyl nuclear disaster was caused by an earthquake near the nuclear plant. Everyone knows the BJP government's overt nuclear agenda and covert moves to develop a Hindu nuclear bomb to counter the Islamic and Christian nuclear bombs . It is well known that the government took pride  in  exploding five thermo nuclear bombs barely two months after coming to power in 1998.

The earth quake struck the nation on  the Republic Day when the decision makers were enjoying the Republic Day parade in New Delhi. The country's defence forces were displaying all the military muscles and  nuclear capability of the country to the outside world. A close scrutiny of the recent wave of minor tremors and earthquakes in different parts of the country indicated that they coincided with what appears to be the trial testing of some  unknown nuclear devices by the military industrial complex in India. Despite attempts made  to get an official statement  from the  Defence Minister George Fernandes, the Defence Ministry officials kept a studied silence. The Department of Atomic Energy Director, Assistant Directors and other members of the nuclear establishment have also refused to comment on the  probability of a powerful underground nuclear test that triggered the earthquake. Communication send by this newspaper to the Defence Minister and other Government officials remain unanswered. 

The earthquake hit the country barely ten days after the Government announced the successful launch of the Agni II nuclear missile. The Government announced on January 17, 2001 the successfull launching of   Agni II nuclear missile to celebrate the 51st Republic Day. There have been a number of reports in the international media that the Indian government was busy preparing for a covert  testing of a more powerful nuclear device. The Federation of American Scientists (FSA) had revealed about six months back satellite images of active preparations  for another nuclear test in  India and Pakistan.  The earthquake happened near the Kakrapar nuclear plant in Gujarath. The desssert areas of Gujarath and Rajasthan are the two places where much of the covert nuclear programmes are going on. While every patriotic citizen would like India to be militarily equipped  to face any challenge to our soverignity and independence, devastating situation in Gujarath is a clear indication about the dangerous side of the nuclear technology. 

FSA has not received any latest imagery from India, Pakistan

According to  the Federation of American Scientists, which has obtained satellite images about nuclear preparations in India and Pakistan, the agency did not receive any recent reports. " We have not acquired any new imagery from South Asia recently," says Steven Aftergood, Non proliferation  and Intelligence ,expert, FSA.

"I think we can be very confident that there is no link between the Indian nuclear testing program and the recent earthquake. People have worried (based on little evidence) that nuclear tests could trigger earthquakes. The mechanism behind this is that the significant shock wave generate by a nuclear explosion could 'shake-up' the earth making an earthquake more imminent," says Richard Allen, Seismo Lab, Caltech University told the businessnewsguide.

"A missile test is very different to a nuclear test. Testing a missile releases almost no energy into the ground, it is only if there is a nuclear explosion that significant energy is released. Therefore a missile test could not cause an earthquake," Seismo Lab, Caltech University.

COVERT NUCLEAR PLANS OF INDIA AND PAKISTAN IN THE POST POKRAN PERIOD

 There are reports that the Indian government was going ahead with the ambitious nuclear programme, especially after the United States declared its intention to implement the Missile Defence System.  “Satellite images reveal that India has recently expanded a storage area that is almost certainly devoted to rocket propellant and fuel assemblies for these missile systems. Images also confirm that DRDL has erected a large facility dedicated to ground-based stress testing and flight simulations involving the actual missile components,” the Federation of American Scientists revealed in a statement More..  

FRENCH NUCLEAR PLANT AND EARTHQUAKE 

A recent report revealed that  a seismological survey produced by France's nuclear safety institute six years ago was made public only in the second week of July 21, 2000 and a French nuclear plant was continuing normal operation without following the safety norms and earthquake. The report  caused considerable public pressure on the nuclear firm Cogema to shut its mixed oxide (MOX) fuel fabrication facility at Cadarache, southern France. What surprised the common man was that the plant was operating for five years after the recommendation to close it down.More

 

Jaswanth Singh: We will not abandon nuclear option?

Mr. Strobe Talbott, the US Deputy Secretary of State who has held extended talks with Mr. Jaswant Singh, the Indian External Affairs Minister since the nuclear tests of May 1998, told the Washington Post that US administration officials "recognise that India is unlikely to abandon its nuclear option, no matter how much pressure they apply."

Prime Minister Vajpayee: No More Tests?

"President Clinton and I had a frank discussion on the issues of disarmament and non- proliferation of weapons of mass destruction. The dialogue which is in progress between our countries on these issues has enhanced the mutual understanding of our respective concerns. I've explained to President Clinton the reasons that compel us to maintain a minimum nuclear deterrent. I have reiterated our firm commitment not to conduct further nuclear explosive tests, not to engage in a nuclear arms race and not to be the first to use nuclear weapons against any country."


PLANNED SERIES OF NUCLEAR TESTS COMPLETED 

May 1998

In continuation of the planned programme of underground nuclear tests begun on the 11th of May, two more sub-kiloton nuclear tests were carried out at Pokharan range at 12.21 PM on the 13th of May, 1998. The tests have been carried out to generate additional data for improved computer simulation of designs and for attaining the capability to carry out subcritical experiments, if considered necessary. The tests were fully contained with no release of radioactivity into the atmosphere. This completes the planned series of tests. Government of India reiterates the offer to consider adhering to some of the undertakings in the CTBT, in the framework of the proposal in its statement of the 11th May,1998.. 


India's official announcement of Pokhran II, May 1998.

 “As announced by the Prime Minister this afternoon, today India conducted three underground nuclear tests in the Pokhran range. The tests conducted today were with a fission device, a low yield device and a thermonuclear device. The measured yields are in line with expected values. Measurements have also confirmed that there was no release of radioactivity into the atmosphere. These were contained explosions like the experiment conducted in May 1974. These tests have established that India has a proven capability for a weaponised nuclear programme. They also provide a valuable database which is useful in the design of nuclear weapons of different yields for different applications and for different devivery systems. Further, they are expected to carry Indian scientists towards a sound computer simulation capability which may be supported by supported by sub-critical experiments, if considered necessary.

    The Government is deeply concerned, as were previous Governments, about the nuclear environment in India's neighbourhood. These tests provide reassurance to the people of India that their national security interests are paramount and will be promoted and protected. Succeeding generations of Indians would also rest assured that contemporary technologies associated with nuclear option have been passed on to them in this the 50th year of our independence. It is necessary to highlight today that India was in the vanguard of nations which ushered in the Partial Test Ban Treaty in 1963 due to environmental concerns.

    Indian representatives have worked in various international forums, including the Conference on Disarmament, for universal, nondiscriminatiory and verifable arrangements for the elimination of weapons of mass destruction. The Government would like to reiterate its support to efforts to realise the goal of a truly comprehensive international arrangement which would prohibit comprehensive international arrangement which would prohibit underground nuclear testing of all weapons as well as related experiments described as 'sub-critical' or 'hydronuclear'. India would be prepared to consider being an adherent to some of the undertakings in the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty. But this cannot obviously be done in a vocuum. It would necessarily be an evolutionary process form concept to commitment and would depend on a number of reciprocal activities.

    We would like to reaffirm categorically that we will continue to exercise the most stringent control on the export of sensitive technologies, equipment and commodities - especially those related to weapons of mass destruction. Our track record has been impeccable in this regard. Therefore we expect recognition of our responsible policy by the international community. India remains committed to a speedy process of nuclear disarmament leading to total and global elimination of nuclear weapons. Our adherence to the Chemical Weapons convention and the Biological Weapons convention is evidence of our commitment to any global disarmament regime which is non-discriminatory and verifiable.

    We shall also be happy to participate in the negotiations for the conclusion of a fissile material cut-off treaty in the Geneva based conference on Disarmament. In our neighbourhood we have many friends with whom relations of fruitful cooperation for mutual benefit have existed and deepended over a long period. We assure them that it will be our sincere endeavour to intensify and diversify those relations further for the benefit of all our peoples. For India,as for others,the prime need is for peaceful cooperation and economic development.

PAKISTAN NUCLEAR FACILITIES SHOULD NOT SURPRISE ANYONE INCLUDING INDIA: PAKISTAN FOREIGN MINISTER

Foreign Minister Abdul Sattar said in May 2000 that release of photographs showing its nuclear and missiles facilities should be no surprise to anyone including India. He told CNN while reacting to the satellite photographs showing Pakistan’s nuclear and rocket facilities published by a US policy group “Federation of American Scientists.”More

Nuclear Tests cause severe earthquakes: Scintists 

Several scientists firmly believe that covert underground nuclear explosions or other artificial means causes many of the earthquakes. The largest earthquake in the 20th century took place in Tanshan, North East China on July 27, 1976 reaching 8.2 points on the Richter scale causing tragic death of 800,000 people. 

According to Gray T. Whiteford,  Geography Professor, University of Brunswick, Canada this Chinese quake occurred five days after the French nuclear bomb test in Mururao atoll in the Pacific. Four days before the Chinese quake, the US has also tested a nuclear bomb. In October 1993, China exploded a nuclear devise at Lop Nor range in the western Xingjiang province –an explosion caused by 80 kilotons explosives was detected by monitoring stations all over the world. A few days later a powerful earthquake of 6.6 hit the test area. Similar quakes were experienced in Iran’s Gilan province.

 

On June 19, 1992, the US conducted an underground nuclear test in Naveda test ground, which was a followed by a serious of major and minor earthquakes in the Mojave dessert, 176 miles to the South--one of the earthquakes measured 7.6 on the Richter scale.  After three days (June 22, 1992) another test was conducted in the same place, which also caused an earthquake of 5.6 in a place less than 20 miles from the Nevada test site causing severe damages worth millions of dollars to the buildings in an area designated for permanent disposal of highly radioactive nuclear wastes, 15 miles away from the epicenter. 

Pokhran test site: 1998 May.

Various studies by British, American, German, Japanese and Canadian scientists have warned that nuclear tests are weakening the Earth’s crust, triggering earthquakes and causing the poles to shift.  Within a microsecond of an underground nuclear test, billions of atoms involved in the explosion release enormous amount of energy –pressure inside the exploding device reach several thousand kilometers and temperatures as high as 100 million degrees.  

Pokhran 1974: shaking mother earth

 The underground nuclear explosion also generates a strong shock wave moving fast from the point of detonation. According to two Japanese scientists-- Shigeyoshi Matsumae and Yoshio Kato—abnormal mateorlogical phenomenon, earthquakes and fluctuations of the Earth’s axis are related in a direct cause and effect to testing of all nuclear devices. Within tens of milliseconds of a nuclear explosion the metal casting and surrounding rock vaporizes, creating a bubble of high-pressure steam and gas. A cavity is formed due to the pressure of the gas bubble and the explosive momentum imparted to the surrounding rocks.  The resultant shock wave travels very fast outward from the cavity, crushing and fracturing the rock and eventually weakening to a stage when the rock is merely compressed and then returns elastically to its original state. This compression and subsequent relaxation of the rock becomes a seismic wave that travels through the Earth, like an earthquake. Monitoring stations in different parts of the world, after studying such seismic waves, normally measure compliance with the Nuclear Test Ban Treaty.

According to New Scientist British and German geophysics believed that the 1978 earthquake in Tabas, Iran, which killed more than 25,000 people, was likely to be triggered by an underground nuclear explosion. British seismologists believed that the quake in Iran was in fact a nuclear test gone awry. A Sweedish seismic laborotary at Uppasala recorded a Soviet Nuclear test  of ten megatons at Semipalitsk just 36 hours before the earthquake. Garry T. Whiteford, Geography Professior, University of Brunswick, Canada studied the occurrence of nuclear tests and earthquakes in a detailed manner.  He studied all the major earthquakes measuring over 5.8 on the Richter scale and compared earthquake rate in the first half of the century before nuclear testing with that for 1950-1988. While 68 large earthquakes of 5.8 occurred before nuclear tests began, the rate went up to 127 per year due to nuclear explosions.

 “The geographic clustering patterns in the data, with a clustering of specific test dates and sites revealed that it was a very dangerous coincidence. A study of killer earthquakes that killed more than 1,000 people died since 1953 by Whiteford also revealed that about 62.5 per cent of those earthquakes occurred a few days after a nuclear test. Many struck only a day after a detonation. Estimates show that more than a million people must have been died in earthquakes related to nuclear tests. Cumulative effect of nuclear tests can move the earth’s tectonic plates in a manner similar to how a swarm of insects might start an elephant running.

In order to detect the actual nuclear tests, which are sometimes conducted simultaneously with other fake explosions, American scientists in the Lawrence Livermore Laborotary are developing a new programme, which can distinguish from a distance between chemical explosions, mining explosions, earthquakes and real nuclear explosions. 


FSA has not received any latest imagery from India, Pakistan

According to  the Federation of American Scientists, which had obtained satellite images about nuclear preparations in India and Pakistan six months back, the agency did not receive any recent reports. " We have not acquired any new imagery from South Asia recently," says Steven Aftergood, Non proliferation  and Intelligence ,expert, FSA.

"I think we can be very confident that there is no link between the Indian nuclear testing program and the recent earthquake. People have worried (based on little evidence) that nuclear tests could trigger earthquakes. The mechanism behind this is that the significant shock wave generate by a nuclear explosion could 'shake-up' the earth making an earthquake more imminent," says Richard Allen,

"A missile test is very different to a nuclear test. Testing a missile releases almost no energy into the ground, it is only if there is a nuclear explosion that significant energy is released. Therefore a missile test could not cause an earthquake," Seismo Lab, Caltech University,

Some scientific aspects of man made earthquakes: 

"Often individuals wonder whether construction of a reservoir, hydrocarbon production, or the injection of fluids into the ground caused an earthquake at a specific location. Several well-documented cases exist where such large engineering projects and damaging earthquakes are genetically related. In most of these cases, the engineering projects themselves most likely did not create the stresses that caused the earthquake, but rather changed local conditions in such a way as to allow an earthquake to occur." says the abstract of a Ph.D thesis submitted to  a Western University More 


 

Remembering the first US Nuclear Test: Mike

"A circular crater 200 feet deep and more than a mile across was torn in the ocean floor, big enough to fit several buildings of the size of the Pentagon and deeper than the height of the Empire State Building. The explosion lifted into the air some 80 million tons of solid material that would be dispersed around the world. Millions of gallons of water turned into steam."

According to Matin Zuberi, cormer Member of Advisory Board National.Security Council,the first American thermonuclear device code-named 'Mike' was tested in the Pacific on October 31 (November 1, local time), 1952. It was an experimental device, effectionately nicknamed the "sausage": “It had a refrigeration unit to freeze hydrogen down to liquid form, fuse it into helium using an atomic bomb as trigger. A 22-foot-long cylinder, weighing 21 tons, contained canisters of liquid deuterium and tritium which were surrounded by the plutonium trigger. Counting the refrigeration unit, the "Mike" device weighed 65 tons. It resembled not so much a weapon as a small refinery,” he wrote in an article.

More than 500 scientific stations on 30 islands monitored the "Mike" shot. Its fireball expanded more than three miles across compared to the fireball over Hiroshima that covered a little more than one-tenth of a mile. "It rose over the horizon like a dark sun." A sailor who witnessed it wrote home: "You would swear that the whole world was on fire." Within minutes, the enlarging fireball cloud reached 57,000 and then 100,000 feet. "It formed a huge canopy more than one hundred miles wide that loomed over the atoll." Its fireball alone would have engulfed Manhattan and its blast would have obliterated the New York City. The island of Elugelab in the Eniwetok Atoll was vaporised. A circular crater 200 feet deep and more than a mile across was torn in the ocean floor, big enough to fit several buildings of the size of the Pentagon and deeper than the height of the Empire State Building. The explosion lifted into the air some 80 million tons of solid material that would be dispersed around the world. Millions of gallons of water turned into steam. "Mike" had an incredible yield of 10.4 megatons. Mankind had entered the age of megatons.”, wrote Edward Teller, Energy from Heaven and Earth (San Francisco: W.H. Freeman, 1979), p. 150-151; Robert Jungk, Brighter than a Thousand Suns (Harmondsworth: Penguin Books, 1982 ed), pp. 272-73.

The world's most powerful fission device was tested by the United States in the "King" shot of November 16, 1952. It was dropped from an aircraft, exploded at an altitude of 1,480 feet above the target, and is estimated to have a yield of 500 kilotons. Although this powerful fission device was originally suggested as an alternative to the H-bomb, it became an additional component of the American thermonuclear armoury.57 Thomas Murray, frequently described as "the conscience" of the AEC, witnessed the "Mike" explosion and felt that he "might be gazing into eternity, or into the gates of hell." Such violent manifestations of the power "latent in nature's miniature solar systems make a man stand riveted and dumbfounded." He tried for a bilateral moratorium on thermonuclear testing.

 "Bravo" Test: The first deliverable American H-bomb, code-named 'Bravo' was the first in a series of six thermonuclear devices--"Romeo", "Koon", "Union", "Yankee", and "Nectar"--tested under "Operation Castle." Their yields varied from about one-tenth of a megaton to 26 megatons. Richard Garwin played a major role in working out the design modifications needed to convert "Mike" into a practical weapon.63 Weighing a relatively portable 23,500 pounds, "Bravo" was detonated in the early hours of March 1, 1954, at the tip of Namu Island. It had a yield of 15 megatons and its fireball lighted the skies for more than a hundred miles. It was the most powerful nuclear explosion ever conducted by the United States and, with the explosive force equal to that of about 750 Hiroshima bombs, it was till then the largest manmade explosion in world history. A freight train carrying its equivalent in TNT would have run from Maine to California. Its fireball was nearly four miles wide and literally vaporised the entire test island and parts of two others. It created a gaping hole in the ocean floor which was one mile wide and 200 feet deep. Its fallout covered 50,000 square-miles which passed over the surrounding islands, showering 28 Americans and about 250 local inhabitants with radioactive dust. Hiroshima paled in comparison to it.

In a book Weisgall, Operation Crossroads: Atomic Tests at Bikini Atoll (Annapolis, Maryland: Naval Institute Press), 1994, pp. 302-304; Rhodes, n. 2, pp. 541-2; A. Constandina Titus, Bombs in the Backyard (Rino & Las Vegas: University of Nevada Press, 1986).

The crew of a small Japanese fishing trawler, Fukuryu Maru (Lucky Dragon), was casting nets 85 miles east of the test site to catch tuna fish for the last time before heading for home. Early in the morning, Shinzo Suyuki was relaxing on the deck. Startled by the thermonuclear flash he shouted, "The sun's rising in the west!" A few minutes later came the shock wave, which was like an earthquake at sea. The 23 crewmen were exposed to radioactive fallout and by the time they reached homeport they were suffering from radiation poisoning.

Their arrival caused a sensation in Japan. One of them shivering in a hospital, said "Our fate menaces mankind. God grant that they may listen." Radio operator Aikichi Kuboyama died on September 23, 1954, thus becoming the first victim of the H-bomb.65 The American Atomic Energy Commission never issued a formal statement of his death. His funeral was attended by more than 400,000 people. A few months later, over 30 million Japanese signed a petition calling for a ban on nuclear testing; this led to the convening of the first World Conference Against Atomic and Hydrogen Bombs in Hiroshima on August 5, 1995. Professor Mitsu Taketani suggested in a radio broadcast that the contaminated fish should be sent to American Ambassador John Allison for his dinner.

A Jubilant Prime Minister Vajpayee in the 1998  Pokhran Test site